Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003188 0.003341 0.003498 0.003671 0.003855 0.004046 0.004259
2025-04-13 0.002832 0.003052 0.003285 0.003552 0.003849 0.004171 0.004548
2025-04-20 0.002670 0.002933 0.003220 0.003556 0.003942 0.004374 0.004897
2025-04-27 0.002579 0.002877 0.003209 0.003609 0.004079 0.004620 0.005294
2025-05-04 0.002453 0.002771 0.003132 0.003573 0.004104 0.004727 0.005524
2025-05-11 0.002353 0.002688 0.003072 0.003551 0.004137 0.004841 0.005761
2025-05-18 0.002264 0.002611 0.003015 0.003525 0.004162 0.004940 0.005980
2025-05-25 0.002226 0.002592 0.003025 0.003580 0.004284 0.005162 0.006362
2025-06-01 0.002159 0.002535 0.002985 0.003569 0.004321 0.005274 0.006603
2025-06-08 0.002090 0.002472 0.002934 0.003541 0.004333 0.005352 0.006800
2025-06-15 0.002014 0.002397 0.002864 0.003485 0.004305 0.005375 0.006919
2025-06-22 0.001948 0.002333 0.002805 0.003440 0.004288 0.005410 0.007054
2025-06-29 0.001905 0.002296 0.002782 0.003441 0.004333 0.005531 0.007319
2025-07-06 0.001816 0.002200 0.002678 0.003332 0.004226 0.005438 0.007270
2025-07-13 0.001781 0.002170 0.002660 0.003336 0.004271 0.005558 0.007537
2025-07-20 0.001766 0.002166 0.002674 0.003385 0.004379 0.005769 0.007950
2025-07-27 0.001720 0.002119 0.002631 0.003352 0.004371 0.005813 0.008108
2025-08-03 0.001680 0.002081 0.002598 0.003331 0.004380 0.005880 0.008305
2025-08-10 0.001642 0.002043 0.002563 0.003308 0.004382 0.005938 0.008489
2025-08-17 0.001633 0.002044 0.002581 0.003358 0.004493 0.006160 0.008948
2025-08-24 0.001603 0.002015 0.002557 0.003348 0.004514 0.006246 0.009188
2025-08-31 0.001568 0.001979 0.002523 0.003322 0.004510 0.006294 0.009365
2025-09-07 0.001526 0.001932 0.002473 0.003271 0.004467 0.006278 0.009432